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Alphabet IncGOOGHOLDNov 13, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
Doing great. Worries about Search becoming obsolete were baseless, though its share of searching will fall. However, the pie will expand and so total revenue will grow. Gemini has a leadership position in AI.
Plus there's YouTube -- about 23% global streaming share and caters to shorter attention spans. Waymo also adds to this very powerful compounder.
We've seen these antitrust cases before. At some point, perhaps the government will be successful, but we haven't seen it yet. North of 90% of searches run through Google. Any deterioration in this would take a long time. Good for the long term. Its AI search seems to be neck and neck with the one from MSFT.