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Alphabet IncGOOGTOP PICKNov 15, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 17, 2026. Market Open.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
Doing great. Worries about Search becoming obsolete were baseless, though its share of searching will fall. However, the pie will expand and so total revenue will grow. Gemini has a leadership position in AI.
Plus there's YouTube -- about 23% global streaming share and caters to shorter attention spans. Waymo also adds to this very powerful compounder.
Moat is pretty phenomenal. Strongest pillar are the networks. Largest index of "intent" data -- what people want right now. That data allows them to target ads. 70% of the world's operating systems are Android.
Sheer scale of its infrastructure lets them run massive AI models at a much lower unit cost. His 12-month price target is $378. Yield is 0.25%.
This is a shift to secular online advertising. Having the largest search engine, they usually garner a large percentage of any company’s advertising. In terms of actual online advertising, it only represents about 35% of their overall budget, so there is still a lot more room to grow as companies shift out of some of the more traditional forms of media on to online. Trading at about 22X forward earnings, and feels they can grow their earnings in the double-digit range. (Analysts’ price target is $967.70.)