Alphabet IncGOOGBUYDec 16, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
European regulators are worried about how much market share they have in “search” (60% market share globally). You also have a lot of issues with investors regarding their spending a lot of money on wearables, self driving cars, etc. Keep in mind that they have been growing at 20% a year now for 4 years, and are still anticipated to grow at 20% again next year. Trading at 17X earnings, which is a real deal when compared to the market which is trading at 16X earnings, and trading at a much slower rate. He really likes this company. A lot of trends are going to work in their favour. He plans on re-entering this name whenever he gets some cash.