Alphabet IncGOOGTOP PICKOct 21, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
Some people were disappointed with the earnings last week, but he still thinks this company is better positioned than almost anybody at technology. People keep forgetting that they own the Android operating system, the most powerful OS and the one that is running better than 70% of the global cell phones right now. At some point they are going to monetize that. They own search, and when he looks at where data and data management is going, he feels they have tremendous value. Making very good acquisitions. You get all of this for about a market multiple or a little bit more.