Stockchase Opinions

C. Kim Goodwin General Dynamics Corp. GD-N TOP PICK Oct 01, 2004

Interested in large cap companies that are more value oriented. Benefiting from a stable Dept. of Defence budget. Recent contract wins. Less used business jets available will help their Gulf Stream operations.
$102.750

Stock price when the opinion was issued

transportation equip & components
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BUY
A defensive company that has made an acquisition in the cyber defence business. Future wars will be won and lost in this platform. Trades at 15x earnings. A good entry into this. Highly acquisitive.
BUY
It trades in line with peers at a reasonable 15x PE. Their cyber-defence division makes up a serious slice of its revenues. He likes this. The defence budget under Biden is still growing but not as quickly as before. That said, the defence industry will always see growth, but it's a matter of how fast or slow. Looking ahead, defence in general will focus on cyberattacks.
TOP PICK
4 areas: tech, marine systems, aerospace, combat systems. Marine systems segment provided main growth right now. Most of their contracts are cost+, which gives them built-in inflation protection if costs go up. Demand by wealthy for private air travel. US won't cut military spending anytime soon. Yield is 2.21%, has grown at 10% a year for the last 5 years and likely to continue. (Analysts’ price target is $234.24)
BUY
Was one of top picks a few weeks ago. There is a great demand for its products such as making systems for submarines and combat systems for some European allies. It is inflation protected since the contracts are cost plus. Own it for the long term.
COMMENT
Raytheon vs. General Dynamics When analyzing a company, look at its peers as well. In this case, Raytheon offers a buffer to only the defence business--commercial aerospace. Two-thirds of revenues come from commercial, the rest in defence. The former is a great opportunity because more planes will be produced as the economy improves. Meanwhile, defence offers stability. Prefers Raytheon.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 09/22, Up 10%)

Industrials are doing well and unfortunately there is a tailwind for defense stocks. With the submarine part it has a strong order book.

BUY

Global company with wide presence. Geopolitical risk a good aspect for business. US defensive spending rising. Tailwinds for business do not appear to be letting up. Has consistently beat earnings estimates. Fundamentals score 10/10. Would recommend buying. 

BUY

Likes the CEO and shares are not expensive, PE-wise.

HOLD

Really strong move after its pullback. He'd look to see where the 200-day MA is ($272). Looks a bit parabolic, that should make you nervous. Momentum indicators might show it a little overbought, a pullback would not surprise him.

Might be at the start of a consolidation, so might pause for a bit. Overall, you can't argue with the chart, so it's not over till it's over.

SELL

Not sure of the negative impetus for the recent pullback. Underperforming the industrial sector when the market's going up -- not a good sign. Question why you're there. Could see further weakness.