Opinions David Burrows
General Dynamics Corp.GDPAST TOP PICKFeb 27, 2023
David BurrowsOwned
$230.62
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$341.50
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
transportation equip & components
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HOLD
Really strong move after its pullback. He'd look to see where the 200-day MA is ($272). Looks a bit parabolic, that should make you nervous. Momentum indicators might show it a little overbought, a pullback would not surprise him.
Might be at the start of a consolidation, so might pause for a bit. Overall, you can't argue with the chart, so it's not over till it's over.
transportation equip & components
COMMENT
Raytheon vs. General Dynamics When analyzing a company, look at its peers as well. In this case, Raytheon offers a buffer to only the defence business--commercial aerospace. Two-thirds of revenues come from commercial, the rest in defence. The former is a great opportunity because more planes will be produced as the economy improves. Meanwhile, defence offers stability. Prefers Raytheon.
transportation equip & components
BUY
Was one of top picks a few weeks ago. There is a great demand for its products such as making systems for submarines and combat systems for some European allies. It is inflation protected since the contracts are cost plus. Own it for the long term.
David BurrowsOwned
transportation equip & components
TOP PICK
4 areas: tech, marine systems, aerospace, combat systems. Marine systems segment provided main growth right now. Most of their contracts are cost+, which gives them built-in inflation protection if costs go up. Demand by wealthy for private air travel. US won't cut military spending anytime soon. Yield is 2.21%, has grown at 10% a year for the last 5 years and likely to continue. (Analysts’ price target is $234.24)
David BurrowsOwned
transportation equip & components
BUY
It trades in line with peers at a reasonable 15x PE. Their cyber-defence division makes up a serious slice of its revenues. He likes this. The defence budget under Biden is still growing but not as quickly as before. That said, the defence industry will always see growth, but it's a matter of how fast or slow. Looking ahead, defence in general will focus on cyberattacks.
transportation equip & components
BUY
GD vs. LMT vs. RTX When analyzing a company, you also want to analyze its peers. This is the case with Lockheed Martin. Instead, look at General Dynamics. They acquired CSRA, entrenched in cyber defense, and this is where corporate and government money will be invested. Also see Raytheon, a hybrid of a commercial application with a defense contractor. RTX has great promise, undervalued, considerable cashflow in the future.
transportation equip & components
DON'T BUY
An interesting space. Up this month. Something like Lockheed Martin might be less expensive. GD hasn't performed as well as Lockheed or Raytheon, so he likes those names a bit more.
transportation equip & components
DON'T BUY
Raytheon has been the winner in defence this year. GD, though, has no growth; their backlog fell in the last quarter. But aerospace revenues were up and they improved their margin. Combat systems revenue was up 14%. IT down 11%. Guidance hasn't changed vs. peers who expect the government to increase spending. Ethically, he isn't in this sector--he doesn't want to own arms and weapons. GD is in the middle of the pack.
transportation equip & components
Industrials are doing well and unfortunately there is a tailwind for defense stocks. With the submarine part it has a strong order book.