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Fiera Capital CorpFSZ.TOWATCHMar 27, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 17, 2026. Market Open.
EPS of 24c beat estimates of 19c; revenue of $162.9M missed estimates of $166M. Revenue is still declining, 1.1%, despite big market gains this year. But assets under management did rise 1%. EBITDA rose 0.9% and did beat estimates. There is good leverage on earnings with cost control. Assets seem to have stabilized, which was a big concern earlier. The stock is very cheap and the yield is still 6.4%, despite the 50% dividend cut. Still, it is hard to get too excited here. It has been a harsh value trap in the past. EPS is expected to surge this year but then only rise about 5% in 2026. The quarter was an improvement but we would like to see some further consistency here.
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The $4B withdrawal is fairly serious, though FSZ does have $166B, and it continues a trend of some assets leaving the company (including money that earlier flowed out to Pinestone following Nadim Risk's departure in 2021). On the plus side, it is coming at a time of good markets, and FSZ has seen some positive momentum recently (we have comments on its quarter posted). The 10% drawdown seems a bit much on the news, but any large $$ exit is never good for sentiment. But the drop may have been partly profit-taking as well, as shares have been on a roll prior to this event.
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He’s been looking closely at this company recently. If you look at total assets under management, they’ve grown a lot, much of that by acquisition. Their margins and expenses seem high. This is probably partially a result of paying top dollar for acquisitions, but he thinks something else is going on too. The compensation number seems very high. He thinks the company will have to digest its acquisitions and improve its profitability before it goes back up.