Stock price when the opinion was issued
EPS of 24c beat estimates of 19c; revenue of $162.9M missed estimates of $166M. Revenue is still declining, 1.1%, despite big market gains this year. But assets under management did rise 1%. EBITDA rose 0.9% and did beat estimates. There is good leverage on earnings with cost control. Assets seem to have stabilized, which was a big concern earlier. The stock is very cheap and the yield is still 6.4%, despite the 50% dividend cut. Still, it is hard to get too excited here. It has been a harsh value trap in the past. EPS is expected to surge this year but then only rise about 5% in 2026. The quarter was an improvement but we would like to see some further consistency here.
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The $4B withdrawal is fairly serious, though FSZ does have $166B, and it continues a trend of some assets leaving the company (including money that earlier flowed out to Pinestone following Nadim Risk's departure in 2021). On the plus side, it is coming at a time of good markets, and FSZ has seen some positive momentum recently (we have comments on its quarter posted). The 10% drawdown seems a bit much on the news, but any large $$ exit is never good for sentiment. But the drop may have been partly profit-taking as well, as shares have been on a roll prior to this event.
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