Opinions
Lyle Stein
First National Financial
FN-T
COMMENT
May 09, 2017
$25.190
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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COMMENT
Undervalued? Familiar with it but doesn't own it. Anytime you're looking at the financial players especially if they are Canada-centric you want to understand if there is any mortage business and what that book looks like. He is concerned about Canadian household debt now that we see rates start to rise. The discount that you see often in the smaller financial centers in Canada is not that the market is not aware of it or that it's a bargain, it's more to speak to the fact that there is risk in being concentrated on the Canadian economy.
Financial Services
HOLD
They have raised dividends, which signals confidence by management – who also owns the majority of shares. It has a service advantage and get loan turnarounds quickly. Brokers have technological advantages and there is reoccurring capital. Once a mortgage is closed it becomes highly visible and it shows the cash flow path.
Financial Services
HOLD
Alternative mortgage companies have been under pressure lately. Longer term, FN-T has done a good job and is a well-managed company. Management owns a large stake too. Eventually he thinks it could become attractive to other players and could be an acquisition target. It has been a consistent dividend grower. Yield 5.9%
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BUY
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We will mark questions 'private' if a similar question has already been posted or if there are too many symbols within one question. FN EPS of 72c beat estimates of 67c. Revenue of $503M was nicely ahead of estimates and rose 21%. Total assets rose 5% to ~$46B. The company expects lower mortgage orginations as recent rate hikes continue to impact demand. The stock is very cheap, with a good dividend, and should do better as interest rates ease. We would consider it a buy for income investors, and it is one of our favourites within the mortgage sector.
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This is a different mortgage player. They basically raise their own money and put that into mortgages. They service mortgages, as opposed to using capital as an intermediary to earn a spread. This has been a well-run company. Their software is 2nd to none. It got caught in the downdraft.