
TSE:ENB
Good time to be staying in pipeline stocks or stay in REITs instead? First of all, you should have a diversified portfolio. The quarter they just reported was a little bit light and had to do with volumes through their systems. However, they reiterated their guidance for annual 12% earnings growth out to 2015 and this is backstopped by a portfolio of about $15 billion in growth projects. Not cheap on a historical basis.
Great company. Has got $20 billion of development pipeline that it is going to execute in the next 5-10 years. Should continue to be able to grow earnings at 10% a year as well as increasing their dividends. Valuation is a little bit lofty but if it corrected 10%-15%, he would start picking away at it.
World is going oil rather than gas. There is a shortage of oil pipe lines, which is why railcars are being used for transport. Clearly pipelines are the solution. This is the most expensive pipeline operation in North America trading at 27X estimated earnings but one of the few companies that has been able to demonstrate 10% or more double-digit growth for the last 5 years and projected to have 10% or more for the next 5. Easily $48-$49 over 12 months.
Enbridge (ENB-T) or Kinder Morgan (KMI-N)? Likes both. The move in the energy infrastructure stocks has been extremely durable. You have a long-term secular increase in volumes and those companies that provide infrastructure will be beneficiaries.