
TSE:DOL
It grinds out profits year in year out, and grows at double digits. They will expand from 1,500 stores to 2,000 over the decade in high-traffic locations and moderate costs. Same-store sales growth will continue. They have a controlling interest in a Latin American joint venture, Dollar City, which extends growth in that faster-growing region.
(Analysts’ price target is $90.46)On several metrics, DOL trades close to the upper end of its 3-year valuation range.
The range is pretty tight to begin with, with forward P/E ratios in the 24x and 29x range, excluding the pandemic crash ratios.
Price to-sales ratio has ranged from 3.4x to 4.7x.
The current multiples are 26.0x forward earnings and 4.2x forward sales.
Debt is high, no doubt, but debt servicing capabilities are high. EBIT to interest expense stands at 69.6x.
Having said that we would be okay with some profit-taking.
We still like it a lot, but if other sectors start performing it could see some selling rotation.
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Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. It is doing very well and will probably continue to do well in the current market climate. Has a good free cash flow conversion rate. Also consistent in holding well during recessions and tougher market conditions. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
DOL’s chart shows an upward trend in the past 12 months from $66.66 to peak at $85.88, with higher highs and higher lows. Currently, DOL is trading right at its 50- and 200-day moving averages in the ballpark of $79-80. The current PE is 31x, so DOL is trading above its five-year median average of 28.95x and mathematical average of 28.39x. Shares are now toppy, so buy this on a pullback. DOL pays only a 0.28% dividend yield, but trades at a stable 0.75 beta. Yes, debt is significant, but so is cash flow. Read: Buying pullbacks: DOL, UNH, Linde for our full analysis.