
TSE:CTC.A
This summary was created by AI, based on 9 opinions in the last 12 months.
Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd. (CTC.A) has received mixed reviews from various experts, reflecting a range of opinions about its current performance and future potential. Many acknowledge its solid business fundamentals, noting a recent earnings report that demonstrates significant year-over-year growth, with EPS up by 38%. However, concerns about the broader economic environment and consumer sentiment, particularly regarding discretionary spending, have led to warnings about the stock's volatility. While some experts appreciate its turnaround efforts and fair valuation at approximately 15x normalized earnings, others prefer more defensive names in the sector, highlighting the risks inherent in the consumer market. Overall, the consensus leans toward caution, with suggestions to potentially take profits while remaining optimistic about the company's long-term efficacy.
This has been a big beneficiary of the rise of do-it-yourself consumers, like the big hardware stores. But at some point, the consumer gets tapped out. As interest rates move up and it is harder for people to service their mortgage, they will be less able to improve their houses. Canadian Tire has also made acquisitions of new products over the past year and it is unclear how those will work out. It’s a great name and a great company but its valuation is too high and its market might shrink soon.
Dollarama vs Canadian Tire. He used to own Dollarama (DOL-T) and believes the growth will flatten out. He owns Canadian Tire (CTC.A-T) and the recent earnings surprise is not too worrisome to him. He thinks the CTC.A-T model to roll out directly to in-home sales will take time and does not believe the stock will go down much lower from here. Overall, he thinks it is a better valuation than DOL-T.
It is a household name. It has had a good run over the last 5 to 8 years. Is it AMZN-Q proof? Some areas but not all areas of the business are. It has held in well compared to other retail names. A slight miss on earnings due to weather. it is not an area where he wants to go in Canada. If it kept moving down it could become more attractive. You will never get too beat up on it. They are rolling out a new rewards program and updating some of their stores.
Comparing Canadian Tire (CTC/A-T) and Dollarama (DOL-T). He sees Dollarama as the one you throw in a box and look at it 3 years later. The stock is expensive, but it continues to show 11% sales growth and 12% earnings growth. They have more room to grow in Canada and their international division provides further significant growth opportunity. Over a long-term time frame, he expects Dollarama to do quite well.
They want to make an acquisition that perturbs the market. It is a big price tag. It is a 20 times purchase price. You have to give them credit for being able to execute. They have done a lot of good acquisitions since 2016. He feels this pull back is a great buying opportunity. (Analysts’ target: $186.64).
Had there been 4 top picks this would have been the fourth. He really likes it. They bought Conoco assets last year. The street didn’t like the deal and lost confidence in Management. They have new Management now with a new CEO that is on the path of right-sizing the company and its balance sheet. It is looking really well now, particularly if we go to a 80 – 90 dollars barrel of oil.
He does not own any Canadian retailers. He thinks it is actually one of Canada’s better retailers. The multiple is not particularly cheap and he personally favours purchasing on Amazon instead. He would continue to hold if you own it.