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Opinions Jonathen Wellum, B. Comm, B. Sc
CognosCSN.TOTOP PICKJul 19, 2005
A few weeks ago missed on one of their numbers and the market completely oversold it. Good price. Good products and growth over the next several years is going to be substantial. A leader. No debt. Good free cash flow.
$46.80
Stock price when the opinion was issued
computer softwareprocessing
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TOP PICK
Feels technology will be one of the leaders going out of this turmoil. Long-term, not a bad place to be. World-class company. One of two major business intelligence players. Earnings growth is probably low teens at best but you're not paying a high multi
Chris SmithOwned
computer softwareprocessing
DON'T BUY
Ranks 288 which is roughly the middle of the pack. Earnings are expected to grow by 15% against a 21 P/E gives you a P/E to growth of about 1.3, which is fairly pricey. The business is stable and growing and there is a clear need for their product. Better opportunities elsewhere.
computer softwareprocessing
COMMENT
Had a correction and dropped about one third of its former uptrend. You want to see it break above $50 in a couple of months. If it doesn't, it means the trend is likely to fail and you enter a consolidation phase. It was a pretty powerful trend, which is a good sign. If it breaks through the $50, the target is $60.
computer softwareprocessing
HOLD
Should be a good hold for the next year or two. Goes through different product cycles and its latest product is just getting out into the marketplace. Could have a good healthy year of strong sales.
Steve MacInnesOwned
computer softwareprocessing
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Has done very well in a short period of time. This company tends to do well in a softer economy. Try to buy $1-$2 cheaper.
Ian NakamotoOwned
computer softwareprocessing
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 6/06. Up 18.2%.) Still likes. Their transition to Cognos8 is taking time to get traction, but it is happening.
Ian AinsworthOwned
computer softwareprocessing
HOLD
BUY
Rumoured as a potential takeover candidate. #150 in his model which is in the top 20%. Analysts have increased earnings estimates 12% in the last 90 days. Expected to be $1.82 for Oct/07 giving a 23 P/E. Reasonable price.
Robert McWhirterOwned
computer softwareprocessing
WAIT
His analyst is still strong for this company. Wait for a bit of a pullback.
Ian NakamotoOwned
computer softwareprocessing
