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Opinions Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
CognosCSN.TOBUYMay 31, 2004
There is a long uptrend from the middle of 2001 to the present. There are constant higher lows but no higher highs which has created an ascending triangle which is a bullish pattern. There should be a breakout.
$46.25
Stock price when the opinion was issued
computer softwareprocessing
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TOP PICK
Feels technology will be one of the leaders going out of this turmoil. Long-term, not a bad place to be. World-class company. One of two major business intelligence players. Earnings growth is probably low teens at best but you're not paying a high multi
Chris SmithOwned
computer softwareprocessing
DON'T BUY
Ranks 288 which is roughly the middle of the pack. Earnings are expected to grow by 15% against a 21 P/E gives you a P/E to growth of about 1.3, which is fairly pricey. The business is stable and growing and there is a clear need for their product. Better opportunities elsewhere.
computer softwareprocessing
COMMENT
Had a correction and dropped about one third of its former uptrend. You want to see it break above $50 in a couple of months. If it doesn't, it means the trend is likely to fail and you enter a consolidation phase. It was a pretty powerful trend, which is a good sign. If it breaks through the $50, the target is $60.
computer softwareprocessing
HOLD
Should be a good hold for the next year or two. Goes through different product cycles and its latest product is just getting out into the marketplace. Could have a good healthy year of strong sales.
Steve MacInnesOwned
computer softwareprocessing
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Has done very well in a short period of time. This company tends to do well in a softer economy. Try to buy $1-$2 cheaper.
Ian NakamotoOwned
computer softwareprocessing
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 6/06. Up 18.2%.) Still likes. Their transition to Cognos8 is taking time to get traction, but it is happening.
Ian AinsworthOwned
computer softwareprocessing
HOLD
BUY
Rumoured as a potential takeover candidate. #150 in his model which is in the top 20%. Analysts have increased earnings estimates 12% in the last 90 days. Expected to be $1.82 for Oct/07 giving a 23 P/E. Reasonable price.
Robert McWhirterOwned
computer softwareprocessing
WAIT
His analyst is still strong for this company. Wait for a bit of a pullback.
Ian NakamotoOwned
computer softwareprocessing
