Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO)

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BUY

A great hold for a 3/4 year horizon. Current distribution of $2 could rise to $4/5.

HOLD

For long-term outlook, the growth in the energy business will come from the tar sands. Production costs have been way out of line to its peers.

BUY

Oil stocks have performed really well and are going to new highs. The whole sector looks really good.

TOP PICK

They own 35.5% of Syncrude in the tar sands. One of the biggest reserves in the world. In 1/2 years, the costs will drop off and revenues will skyrocket.

BUY

Had some costs overruns but a great place to invest. Oil Sands is a world-class assets. Would prefer Suncor.

WEAK BUY

The oil stands is a terrific development. Feels they have the cost problems under control now. Not sure of the growth potential for the Syncrude project.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Just reported results that were a blockbuster with earnings. A good holding as a core position. Try to buy at $42.

WAIT

Has a spectacular property in Fort McMurray with a 50/75 year reserve life. Production has been very good. Imperial Oil has taken over all production in the Syncrude operation which is good. Has a high debt level so may see a new equity issue.

TOP PICK

Almost 5% distribution. Likes the long-term nature of the assets. Improving their costs of production.

HOLD

Good long-term hold. As the risks of oil shortage increases, oil sands take on a more significant role.

WEAK BUY

Longer term, an oil trust with one of the best profiles for reserves. Steady distribution in the 4 1/2 - 5% range.

DON'T BUY

Not a favorite. Has the commodity risk and the yield is too low for the risk.

TOP PICK

(A top pick Jan 21/04. Down 12%.) The best long-term story in Canada. When pension funds come back into this market, this will be a first choice.

BUY

Sold off sharply recently because of massive cost overruns. Has now settled down. Prefers Suncor. As a long-term investor, as Suncor increases its dividend, you'll have a good yield. Better managed.

WAIT

Likes their long life reserves. Not happy with the volatility of oil prices. Had some cost overruns.

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Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO)