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Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO)

PAST TOP PICK
(A past top pick Mar 12/04. Up 8%.) Used the setback as a buying opportunity. Buy-and-hold.
BUY
As a long term play, this will be a winner. Excellent time to buy for the long-term hold.
HOLD
Had massive overruns in the costs of stage three expansion. There is long-term value in the oil Sands, but there has been a history of cost overruns. Has also been a history of operating problems.
TOP PICK
Like to think that the worst is over. A buy and hold stock.
DON'T BUY
Cost overruns are shocking. Company had a poor handle on what their costs were going to be.
DON'T BUY
Has a negative, short-term view on the stock because of misleading statements by management. Operating costs are too high at this time.
TOP PICK
The stock got hit recently because of Syncrude's huge cost overruns and thinks that all the risk has now been taken out of it. 5% yield.
DON'T BUY
Had massive cost overruns on their oil sands project. Stock has dropped to the low $40's. Don't expect a huge outside from this point.
DON'T BUY
Tracking downwards. The news on cost overruns has been startling. Expect it will come around but there might be a bit more downside.
TOP PICK
(A top pick Nov 7/03. Up 24%.) An ongoing good story. Have been on a massive capital expansion program, which ends at the end of this year.
WEAK BUY
May be raising their dividends. Prefers gassier stocks.
TOP PICK
They own 33% of the Syncrude production. Production should ramp-up significantly which should drop operating costs significantly.
DON'T BUY
Have never been enthusiastic about this trust because of the low yield. Very vulnerable to oil and gas prices.
BUY
Scheduled wrap-up in production in 2005. Capital expenditures should be reduced. Should start to see production ramp up which should see an increase in stock price.
HOLD
Distribution is two dollars and the hope is that it will double in three or four years when production ramps up.Prefers natural gas at this time.
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