Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO)

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HOLD

Extraordinarily bullish on oil sands for the long term. This is one of the leaders in this area. As oil prices go up gradually over the years, distributions will also go up.

COMMENT

His fair market value, full tax adjusted, is about $60, so obviously there is some upside. At 4 X book, it's not particularly cheap. Likes the energy sector for the long term.

BUY

Suncor (SU-T) and Canadian Oil Sands (COS.UN-T) are both long-term holds and every portfolio should have one or the other. Don't worry about where they are in the short run, own it for the long-term.

TOP PICK

Its stage 3 is now in place, which is an increase of 1/3 in their output. Hedges are running off. Almost 4% yield. The premier play on the oil sands.

BUY

Geared to the oil sands region. The oil sands potential, long-term, is very positive. Will be volatile. Attractive to global investors for a high quality, low risk reserve, relative to political risks elsewhere.

BUY

Has had a very nice correction, giving you a good buying opportunity. A great way to play the oil sands.

TOP PICK

On a net asset value is the cheapest royalty trust out there. Reserve life of over 40 years.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

This is and will continue to be a longer-term story. It can produce out of the oil sands at a profit, at today's prices. A viable place to be looking for future development. Would consider buying a few dollars less.

WAIT

Seasonality, you buy in November and sell in May. This is getting close to the period of seasonal strength. A nice little base building is going on now.

BUY

12 to 24 months out, you're going to be well rewarded.

BUY

This is the ultimate exposure to the Canadian oil sands. Very long life asset. Perfect vehicle for an income trust.

STRONG BUY

One of the lowest payout ratios at 4.2%. Trading below its net asset value. Doesn't expect to see oil falling far from here.

WAIT

The ideal time to buy is sometime in the next couple of months. The $56 oil needs to be tested and it needs to hold. You could buy today but it probably won't do much except trade in a range.

WEAK BUY

Tends to buy trusts for cash flow and income, so this has not been one of his favourites. With this, you are essentially buying a very long call on the price of oil.

COMMENT

Oil sands is a nice long-term play and you get a 4/5% dividend probably for years and years. In the short-term, it's going to move around with oil prices.

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Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO)