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Canadian Imperial Bank of CommerceCM.TOCOMMENTJul 23, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 21, 2026. Market Open.
He'd hold. Despite the incredible chart, the banks are very well positioned. Benefitting from GenAI and AI investments. Regulatory environment is in their favour with OSFI lowering threshold for risk-weighted assets, which means they have more capital to lend. Consumer is reasonably healthy. As long as interest rates don't go flying through the roof anytime soon, the banks can continue to do well.
We're speculating what will happen. Last year, most of the Canadian area was protected from tariffs because of CUSMA. The US would be paying more for our goods through tariffs; they buy many of our goods. Banks are at the tail end of their elevated provisions and their stocks have done quite well as interest rates have declined. The Bank of Canada has signalled it may hold rates for a while, but the government has released more fiscal support and opening more trade channels, which are good. She remains bullish banks.
Best capital ratio and the lowest PE. What’s wrong? It’s Aero Gold. Aimia (AIM-T) has signed a deal with Toronto Dominion (TD-T) and this bank has the right of 1st refusal with the deadline in early August. Stock is $7-$8 away from its 52-week high when all the others are at their highs and is strictly due to this. Approaching 10% of their earnings. Expects it gets resolved and if they do their own card, lose some business and with a 3%-5% hit, thinks it will go to $80-$81.