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TSE:CAR.UN
This summary was created by AI, based on 13 opinions in the last 12 months.
Canadian Apartment Properties (CAR.UN-T) is currently facing challenges primarily due to reduced immigration levels affecting the rental market and an oversupply of condos leading to falling rents. Experts note that while the situation is tough now, there are expectations of future recovery in the sector as immigration policies may improve over time. Many analysts see the stock as a potential yield play, especially considering its attractive price-to-earnings ratio and dividend yield, which hovers around 4%. However, concerns about volatile interest rates and potential government interventions in rent controls have also made some experts cautious. Overall, there's a sense that patience is required as the cyclical nature of the real estate market suggests a turnaround in a few years.
CHP.UN is far more defensive. Great portfolio, with about 20% in industrial warehouse space (a sector he's quite bullish on). If you want defense, this is your better bet.
With CAR.UN, you have to think about affordability and how defensive is the tenant base and the cashflow from that base. Great portfolio, with higher concentration in Ontario -- something to keep in mind if you're concerned about tariffs and loss of manufacturing jobs in southwestern Ontario. See his Top Picks.
Generally, caution is warranted in apartments. Stocks are now coming into interesting levels. Great population growth, but could turn negative next year. Very good portfolio. Selling older buildings and buying new from developers. So cashflow growth should improve -- buildings won't need such extensive repairs, plus new buildings are not subject to rent control.
Sale of manufactured housing communities business will give them lots of cash. Look for share buybacks. Long term, feels good about multi-family residential. Just sit through the mid-term volatility.
In his balanced portfolio to provide income rather than growth. Not the greatest ride for REITs the last few years. Not seeing the pickup in turnover needed in multi-family residential, people need to leave so you can get higher rents. Lots of buildings are under rent control. Yet maintenance costs keep going up.
Cleaned up balance sheet, sold some assets. Future depends on more turnover, which won't happen until interest rates are at a more attractive level (which encourages more people to start buying houses).
Long-term, yes, for residential REITs, like apartment ones. They also benefit from more immigration. This leads to higher rents. InterRent, Minto and CAP are his preferreds in this space. CAP is the biggest, and they hold a super-quality portfolio that they've been upgrading in recent years. All these are focused in Ontario. but they benefit from lower interest rates. A caveat: Ottawa is slowing immigration to Canada, which feeds demand for apartments. Expect choppiness, but these are good holds.
The pay around a 3% dividend, so considers this an income stock. The private apartment rental market they're in is very tight. Half their apartments are in Ontario which has a rent increase cap, so rent rises only 2.5% upon renewal, but over 20% if a tenant leaves. So there's room to raise rental rates to market rates. Also, they're good at selling pre-2018 properties and buying post-2018 ones which don't have rent control.
(Analysts’ price target is $56.79)REIT sector has lagged with interest rates going up. Largest in Canada. Feels rental market will stay quite strong and robust. Good demand with immigration. Shortage of multi-family housing across Canada. 50% exposure in Ontario, which has rent control. Selling older properties, investing in newer and refurbishing. Yields only around 3%, but very safe, good potential for increases. Buys back stock instead of a high dividend.
Press report of offloading manufactured homes, accounts for only 5% of its business. If came through, capital would be deployed into capital recycling program to invest in more modern units.
Phenomenal, long-term track record of owning great buildings, managing them well, and increasing rents over time. The only REIT he owns, so that's his pick in the sector.