NYSE:C

Citigroup Inc. (C)

122.69
+1.65 (1.36%)
as of Oct 27, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Closed.
143 watching
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COMMENT

A turnaround play. The big catalyst that is coming up is the restrictions put on the company. It should come off later in the year. CitiGroup is also another good choice. They can increase their dividends and start buybacks once rules change.

TOP PICK
Risk-reward, this is super cheap. Not back to pre-covid levels or even 2008/2009 levels. GDP is growing well in the US and has good international exposure. 23% earnings growth is expected, trading at 9x 2022. This name is compelling on price to growth. (Analysts’ price target is $79.23)
BUY
The expected US consumer spending boom We're going to overshoot on the upside. People will outdo everything. Banks have such clear exposure to the US economy and consumer opening up with pent-up demand. Citibank remains 15% below pre-Covid levels and so are its peers. There's a lot of rotation left to go. Industrials and transports are at all-time highs.
TOP PICK
Financials are part of the recovery script. We are seeing a steeper yield curve and slightly higher rates. Value leads over growth after a recession. Q3 was solid but there was litigation that overshadowed it. Investors can look forward to this changing soon. 60% EPS growth next year. (Analysts’ price target is $66.98)
TOP PICK
Loathed name, not sexy. Huge move off the bottom on Monday. Trading at levels similar to financial crisis. Crushed Q3 earnings. Estimates 60% earnings growth. Lots of upside. Yield is 4.27%.
COMMENT
Just because interest rates are low, it does not necessarily mean that it is all bad for financial institutions. The rate curves have been steepening which bodes well for banks in net interest rate margins. We will see a return of financials with a gradual return. There has also been good off-set from the sales and trading, and issuance side. There may be further scrutiny with their recent regulatory issues.
TOP PICK
They've had so much bad news. Credit concerns. Dividends are not impregnable. Incredibly cheap. Good dividend. Earnings will rise in a recovery. Very nice risk/reward. Yield is 4.55%. (Analysts’ price target is $65.34)
WEAK BUY

Well run. People have qualms about its international operations. Not as strong an investment franchise as JPM or BAC. You could take a stab at it.

DON'T BUY

She owns JP Morgan in US banks. They just announced a new CEO. They need to spend more on risk monitoring, which is strange so late in the day. This will drag on the recovery on their bottom line, because this spend will weigh on their expenses. Banks on both sides of the border are attractive. She prefers JPM because their managers are strong; they're the cream of the crop among US banks. JPM was very conservative in their provisions in the last few quarters. Will bounce back.

STRONG BUY
Did the Fed create a bubble by slashing interest rates? Nope. The Fed did its job--we'd be in a depression if they hadn't stepped in. Not in a bubble apart from the cloud stocks. In fact, some stocks are very cheap like CITI. He revived a stock--it generate $7.5 billion when the outgoing CEO took over, and now generates $19.4 billion. Returned on common equity surged from 5% to 12.1%. Tangible book value is now above $70. But the stock continues to lag the S&P's rise by a mile. Pays a juicy dividend. Should be much higher, but this market hates bank stocks. It's cheap now.
BUY
Large money centre banks in the US are under pressure. All the big US banks took MASSIVE loan loss provisions in Q1. The market is a little worried in Q2. The Central bank has put constraints on them, like curtailing dividends -- which is positive. The Treasury department has over $1 trillion in cash reserves that can provide liquidity. He owns Citi and believes their reserves are sufficient. If inflation returns, this sector could easily double, he believes.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 18/19, Down 22%) Still well positioned for medium-term growth, although they took a hit in Q1 earnings. It is very cheap on 2021 growth forecasts. One of the first banks he would allocate capital to. A long term quality stock. Stick with it.
DON'T BUY

It's struggled since before the 2008 recession and has never righted itself. He prefers MS and Goldman. Citi will continue to struggle.

COMMENT

He likes it if you want that international exposure. It will be more volatile than JPM-N or BAC-N because of that exposure. You can get paid very well in markets outside of the US but they carry higher levels of risk.

COMMENT

BAC vs C? He bought BAC-N at $6 and expects it to go towards $40. He could see people buying it on momentum. He does not know C-N as well. He would not race in to buy either one at these levels. It was a sector way out of favour back in 2008, when he bought in.

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