Stockchase Opinions

Laura Lau Bankers Petroleum BNK-T BUY Dec 02, 2013

Things got definitively over hyped. The new CEO has definitely turned things around. It is a very cheap stock. Have been free cash flow positive for the last 3 quarters.

$4.000

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
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COMMENT

Being acquired at $2.20 a share, but the stock price is at around $1.85. The difference is because there is very little visibility into the buyer, and their ability to come up with the cash is still in doubt. Too many moving parts.

COMMENT

(Market Call Minute.) Recently got a bid from a Chinese Consortium at $2.25. Stock is trading well below that on the fear that the Chinese buyer might not have the cash or may not close the deal. There is also Albanian tax risk. He reads it that this deal probably does go through, and there is a nice spread there for someone willing to take that risk.

HOLD

The perception is that Long Run has been bought by a Chinese company and now another Chinese company is buying BNK-T. There has been insider buying from officers. He is tempted to dip his toe. If you hold it, then hold on.

BUY

(Market Call Minute.) An arbitrage play. There is risk. He bought into this last week at $1.82.

SELL

The bidder is from overseas and sometimes they don’t bring the money to the table. The risk is that you are assessing if an overseas deal happens here. He feels most investors are not in a position to judge this. Go for something that is easier to understand.

DON'T BUY

You want to look at news and see how the price reacts. We had positive news, but the price is struggling. It has not outperformed crude oil. You want to own those companies that can outperform crude oil.

HOLD

(Market Call Minute.) This is actually worth $2.20 because that is the bid price, and she thinks the deal is going to go through.

COMMENT

Being acquired by a Chinese group. At the beginning they announced a bid of $2.20, and the stock was trading at about $1.80. He thinks the investment community did not know this Chinese group and not able to assess their legitimacy. They have gotten through various regulatory hurdles. He has elected to sell ahead of the acquisition.

COMMENT

Just won a tax dispute against the Albanian government. Up until a few months ago, the $57 million would be a major win, but right now it is going to be going into the pockets of the Chinese company that is bidding on the company. If you own this, you are just holding for another nickel or dime.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sept 2/15. Up 6.34%.) A small Albanian heavy oil company. This is being taken over by a Chinese company. This has a really great year-to-date number.