Stockchase Opinions

Bob StodgellBCE Inc.BCE.TOTOP PICKMay 20, 2008

Thinks the deal will get done at $42.75. If it gets done at a lower price, it still would be higher than the current price and you get a dividend.
$37.40

Stock price when the opinion was issued

telephone utilities
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SELL ON STRENGTH
Take losses?

Ask yourself this:  If he gave you the same amount of $$ you already have invested, would you buy the stock again? The world has changed. Premium pricing has come to an end. Valuation compression might be over. 

Owns it, but it's on a very short leash (ultimately to be recycled into something else). Yield is 5%.

DON'T BUY

Telcos have been under pressure for quite a while, extremely volatile. She owns none of them. Until she sees a sector turnaround, she's staying clear.

This name is still one of the Big 3. Still using capital to push into the US via Ziply. Good move to sell sports stake to Rogers. Rebuilding balance sheet, pivoting to fibre as the growth story. Turnaround still has some work to do, but it's taking the right steps.

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 27/25, Down 0.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with BCE has triggered its stop at $33.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.

COMMENT

Their dividend cut surprised the market. They did it to invest in the US. Shareholders depend on the dividend, so they sold. 

HOLD

Cut dividend by 56%. Peak phone ownership is a headwind. Interesting story, not largely talked about, is its AI Fabric data centres. Like a sovereign Canadian AI play -- could create tailwinds. Other areas for better income.

WATCH

Pricing pressure in the sector. Doesn't see appetite for another big telecom merger anytime soon. 

In the sector, he'd probably look at BCE or RCI.B.

SELL
Take losses, or wait?

His firm really doesn't buy turnaround situations. He wants things that are good and getting better, with positive catalysts and technically sound. As the stock comes off the bottom, you have all these people just itching to sell and get their money back.

Won't be a market leader anytime soon. Better places for your $$. If you can take a tax loss, he'd step aside.

HOLD
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy's most-liked answers from 5i Research.

The Saskatchewan data centre is positive news, but represents short-term pain for long-term gain. The deal reduces BCE's free cash flow this year from $3.5B to $2.3B, with $1.7B allocated to the project. For investors worried about capital expenditures, this may be troubling. However, it's likely the right long-term strategic move to generate higher-growth diversified revenue. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

WATCH

It's likely seen its low last year. Not sure about their US investment, and faces competition in Canada. Just announced a data centre builld in Saskatchewan, which will increase capex short term, but beneficial long term. A good move. She hasn't returned to the stock yet, but is watching how the data centre plays out.

HOLD
Investor's down 23%, a 5% portfolio position. Likes the dividend.

He'd own it for income, not expecting a lot of capital growth. Gives you a bit of stability and a nice dividend yield. Will struggle to grow. Improved share value over time by cutting costs and buying back shares.

In a taxable account, could consider selling for a tax loss (and maybe buy back after 30 days).

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 27/25, Up 8.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with BCE is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $30) t0 $33 at this time.

DON'T BUY

For the Canadian telcos, regulatory challenges won't go away. In response, the telcos pledged to invest in rural areas, but those areas now have Starlink. Also, Freedom Mobile and Quebecor have added a lot more competition. The telcos won't bounce back anytime soon.

DON'T BUY

For the Canadian telcos, regulatory challenges won't go away. In response, the telcos pledged to invest in rural areas, but those areas now have Starlink. Also, Freedom Mobile and Quebecor have added a lot more competition. The telcos won't bounce back anytime soon.

BUY
Buying opportunity with the hit after results?

Likes it at this level. Dividend absolutely secure. Throwing off additional free cashflow, which will probably be used to reduce debt somewhat. Room to invest in some growth. Defensive, not growth. Possibly delivers double-digit returns over next number of years.

DON'T BUY

All the telecoms are debt-laden, and they have to pay interest on that. Unable to get pricing power from the 5G movement. Now we're coming up on 6G, so they're going to be spending more. But revenues aren't rising. Even YTD, these stocks are slipping. 

Still not a great entry point.