
TSE:BBD.B
Pays no dividend but did in the past. They saw their fortunes turn around. They are looking more positive going forward. This is the part of the cycle when these companies tend to do very well and the valuation is reflecting this. He would stay away from it because there is no dividend. There may be a dividend in the future.
Stock is turning around. Earnings were surprising to many last week. Aerospace operations, like the C-Series, are working well and general high levels of free cash flow. But the transportation side still has trouble as they lay off workers in Quebec. Still has lots of issues, but at these levels it's not a bad play.
He predicted the end of a 17-year downtrend about a year ago, and thinks that continues. A very messy stock. It is still risky, and he doesn't see any earnings until 2019. He’s becoming increasingly confident in their revenue story, and sees 16% compounded annual revenue growth over the next couple of years. Sees their balance sheet continuing to improve. He can see 17X 2019 for the first time in a long time. You could be nibbling at this in a taxable account.
Has never owned this as he feels it is too tied to the Québec government in many ways. The company has done a very poor job of executing in many of their products. The C series was supposed to be their premier product. Hopefully the deal with Airbus works out for them. Competition is pretty high in the sector. There are a lot of better ideas around that you can make money on.
Impact of Boeing dispute decision to be announced tomorrow. It will move the stock a little bit but he can’t say on the outcome. Bombardier has said they would make planes in the States. If they didn’t have the relationship with Aribus, it would move the stock a lot more. Now that they have this relationship, it’s very difficult to say what's going to happen. Striking a partnership with Airbus has edged away some of their exposure.
Thinks this has finally turned the corner. It is definitely risky. New management continues to deliver on goals and milestones. He believes that the sum of the parts valuation is at $3.75 and that the C series is worth another $.72. He is modelling 30% EBITDA growth 2017-2020, and it is trading at a reasonable valuation of 9.2, versus its peers of 11.6. A good risk/reward story.