BroadcomAVGOPARTIAL SELLMar 08, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
Macro fears of AI overspending, diminishing returns, circular financing, and bubble worries. Stock-specific fears of a highly competitive market, top 5 customers account for 40% of revenues, high debt levels from past acquisitions may impact future M&A.
Stunning rise since 2022. Unprecedented thirst for products. Acquisitions continue to be a growth driver. Big cashflow, very sustainable dividend. Seven analyst upgrades over last 30 days.
Trades at 23x PE 2027 earnings, growing at 34%.
He took some profits right before they reported (shares are down today despite them beating). Loves the company for its diversification and still holds a small position. Revenue expectations had exploded from $38 billion to $50 billion. At 10x sales, that's a $1,300 share, but historically it trades 7x and $900. There should be an AI premium, but the stock now is fairly priced. Shares are up 51% in 3 months, so he took profits. He would buy them back on a pullback at $900, where it should be.