TSE:ARX

Arc Resources Ltd (ARX.TO)

29.80
+0.31 (1.05%)
as of Jun 30, 2026, 8:00:01 pm Market Open.
941 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 1, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 43 opinions in the last 12 months.

Reviews from various experts indicate a mixed sentiment regarding Arc Resources Ltd. The stock finds itself in a challenging position due to issues surrounding its Attachie project and the overall volatility in natural gas prices. While some analysts maintain a long-term positive outlook, emphasizing its quality assets and potential for growth driven by LNG exports, others advise caution, pointing out production cuts and a lack of immediate upside. The impending acquisition by Shell has added a layer of uncertainty, with opinions split between selling now or holding until the deal closes. Despite the challenges, many experts appreciate the management's efforts in maintaining a solid balance sheet and its commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

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Consensus
Hold
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Valuation
Fair Value
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CND-Q
HOLD
Is the dividend safe? He owned it a while ago. It is a really good company with good management and a pristine balance sheet. Even still the stock has not done well, due to the low natural gas prices and no sign of improvement. He is cautious on the dividend and thinks it depends on the natural gas price going forward. He would continue to hold it.
RISKY
A great company, but the oil price is hurting them. 143% 2020 payout ratio, so the dividend is not safe. 6.5x earnings, cheaper than the past 5 years, but that's high compared to their peers. That said, it's a quality name. You can own this if you expect oil prices to rise.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 23/18, Down 26%) Another disappointment, but he'd still recommend it. Clean balance sheet, top-tier assets. Great future. Dividend's not in jeopardy. Sold assets to boost balance sheet possibly to buy assets coming up for sale.
BUY
Gas stock, not pure oil. Really likes this. It's fallen a bit due to warm weather, so it will bounce up when it turns cold which is likely this winter.
HOLD
There is no distinguishing the have and have-not companies. You can now buy the best quality companies at the same discounts to their peers. Their next big production project comes on later in 2019. Management is great. We have probably reached the maximum level of capitulation.
DON'T BUY
Sold it 18 months ago, because there weren't enough pipelines to take away natural gas in western Canada, just like the oil problem. Also, nat. gas production in U.S. can be shipped closer to U.S. destinations instead of shipping it from western Canada. There's no easy solution to this. We won't get an L&G terminal in BC in 2023, though it's a glimmer of hope.
RISKY
Expensive vs. peers, but excellent assets and an efficient operator. He sees 10% growth. He likes it. Buy only if oil hits $60-70.
WAIT
This is a long term, well run, mostly gas run company. When LNG Canada project production starts, it may not specifically benefit Arc, but it will take some of the natgas out of the current pipeline infrastructure, which would benefit Arc. It is on her watch list. She thinks they will be buying Arc in the future.
SELL
He sold in the last couple of weeks. They are mostly gas and some liquids. The price they are getting has been moving up but it will take time for the infrastructure to get in place for them to get a decent price. Long term LNG projects will be good for them.
COMMENT

ALA-T vs. ARX-T. ALA-T is going through a reorganization. It complicates his model. The trailing PE is 19 times and it is cash flow positive. The yield is very high at 10.2% with payout at 60%. The ROE is okay at 6%. He would wait until the financing of the spin out is complete and the market should be more comfortable. He does not follow ARX-T.

TOP PICK

A well respected natural gas producer that had been trading too expensively. It now trades at a more reasonable 6-7 times cash flow. It remains profitable due to its liquids position. West coast LNG will benefit this stock. Yield 4.3%. (Analysts’ price target is $18.25)

COMMENT

Projecting 11% production growth till 2020. Balance sheet pretty good. Not a lot of cashflow per share growth. Pricier than its peers. An 111% payout ratio. If fund flows come to Canada, they’ll come to this name. Will benefit from LNG. Real key is whether oil will stay at $73. If yes, you can buy a lot of energy names, and ARC is one of them.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He continues to own this as it is primarily natural gas focused and has a great land and reserve base. He was buying it around $12.80.

HOLD

He has strong reason to believe a go decision will be made for an LNG project – likely in late-October. There are on the ground plans in Kitimat for festivities. ARX-T has good liquids exposure as well. He would prefer Tourmaline.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick August 18, 2017. Down 5%). The company executes excellently. This is primarily a gas company. Gas prices in Canada are extremely depressed because the infrastructure for gas delivery was designed to take southern Alberta gas to the US and Eastern Canada, but all the new discoveries have been made in Northern BC and Northern Alberta. The infrastructure to bring this out is still being built out. Arc has a lot of natural gas liquids. He expects natural gas prices to rise going into the Fall.

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