Aecon Group Inc (ARE.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Aecon Group Inc (ARE.TO)

49.50

-0.33 (0.66%)

as of Jul 8, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

427 watching

Investor Insights

Jul 8, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 18 opinions in the last 12 months.

Aecon Group Inc (ARE-T) is poised to benefit from the significant infrastructure investment in Canada, with a record backlog reaching over $10.9 billion. Analysts note the shift from riskier fixed-price contracts to more sustainable variable-price contracts, enhancing cash flow stability. While the stock has shown substantial growth recently, with many experts indicating it is currently overbought, there are concerns about short-term volatility. The company's exposure to nuclear projects and ongoing expansion in infrastructure signals promising future growth, despite mixed views on its current valuation. Overall, investors should be cautiously optimistic as Aecon navigates through a challenging construction landscape.

Consensus

Hold

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

WSP

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jun 13/18, Up 27%) It is hard to make money in these construction companies. They had a good backlog and SNC-T is having trouble bidding on contracts. They are great until they have one of these big write-down's. The company has never looked better.

DON'T BUY

She doesn't own this space, because these companies suffer cost overruns on the construction side. Also, government pledges to build infrastructure a few years ago have been slow to ramp up. These companies also need to make acquisitions to grow. She is watching WSP Global which is purely in services--and she prefers WSP.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 11/18, Up 18%) Also a top pick today. Still more upside coming, moving more into recurring revenue. In their last report, sales 22% better than expected and earnings were 50% better than expected.

TOP PICK

Great opportunities here. Also a past top pick today. It pays a 3% dividend yield. Cash flow is up 77% in the past year; a great 10.2% free cash flow yield. Last week's report said that sales were 22% better than expected and EPS were up 47% YOY. (Analysts’ price target is $23.36)

PARTIAL BUY

He likes how they look, but is not holding it yet. He was happy to see the takeover was blocked and that it is remaining in Canada. The new CEO has a global reach and will be a good asset for when the company bids outside of Canada. The valuation is back down and it has a 3.4% dividend, trading at 16 times earnings. You could start to build a long position here.

DON'T BUY

Very well-run and he likes it. Last year, a Chinese company tried to take over ARE. Since then, ARE has rebuilt. There are problems with SNC that could benefit peers like ARE. ARE's valuation is too high for him. He may step in if that valuation were 10-15% lower.

WEAK BUY

3-5-year horizon, given Ontario government planning $30-billion infrastructure spending A good company that will do well in that time horizon. Caveat: Capex projects like the one Ontario is announcing take a long time to get going. Instead, look at an infrastructure's backlog of projects--buy when that backlog is going up.

WEAK BUY

The offer to take them out was blocked. It is rebounding after the selloff. The stability is there. The new CEO brings global experience. It should bode well for them expanding well outside of Canada. It has a strong balance sheet. This would be his pick in the space.

COMMENT

ARE-T, WSP-T or SNC-T? He owns SNC-T, which has had its issues alongside the Canadian-Saudi Arabia situation. Fundamentally the company performs well. He owns STN-T. He was expecting this space to see better investment following the Canadian government plans to add to infrastructure. He has grown cold to the space as a whole.

BUY

We are off our highs. Our lows are higher and that is good. Seasonally it is a good time. This is the time of year they do well and technically they look good.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 25/17, Up 9%) It's been a rollercoaster, given the Chinese bid that Ottawa struck down earlier this year. He sold at $19. He'd look at re-buying it. In this sector, he'd look at this and Stantec.

TOP PICK

It had a rough ride lately, because Ottawa killed a Chinese deal earlier this year. It now scores in the top 2% of his valuation. It's picked up strong price momentum. They have a huge backlog of projects. Well-positioned. (Analysts’ price target is $22.15)

BUY

Was his top pick 3 months ago. Their Q3 earnings were up YOY , beating consensus by 10%. Infrastructure margins were up with room to run. Their backlog is up from $4 billion last year to $7 billion. Trades at a cheap 14x. He sees growth with a $23 price target. He likes it.

COMMENT

They reported a good number lately, but failed to go private. It's too energy-centric for him. It's fully valued now after failing to go private.

BUY

STANTEC vs. AECON - He's studying the infrastructure space closely. He has no criticism about Stantec, but he prefers Aecon for its balance sheet ($260 million in cash) and low debt. And its new CEO has global experience, which is a catalyst for Aecon and will help them go global. He hasn't bought ARE yet, but will.

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Aecon Group Inc (ARE.TO)