American TowerAMTCOMMENTNov 25, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 06, 2026. Market Open.
Cell phone tower owner/operator - leases out to providers. Very good business as towers don't need to be re-developed. Able to grow earnings at a consistent basis. A little bit more debt than is preferred, but with falling interest rates - will be good for business. Good time to invest in company, and has been buying shares.
As a REIT, some benefit with respect to rate expectations. Just sold tower business in India, which was an overhang, using proceeds to reduce leverage. Capital allocation moving towards developed (away from developing) countries, which adds certainty, higher inflation protection, and more data. Yield is 2.7%.
(Analysts’ price target is $237.64)AMT is a $77.5B REIT which pays a 3.8% yield. Forward sales and earnings estimates are decent, and its historical growth rates are strong. Its margins have been weakening over the past few years and its valuation has come down alongside the rapid rise in interest rates. It generates good free cash flows, which are partly used for distributions and partially for paying down debt. It has a good balance sheet, and it is fundamentally strong, but its valuations are somewhat high and declining based on competition from other high-yielding assets with much less risk such as GICs and high-interest savings accounts. We feel that a catalyst that could help its share price is interest rates stalling or even declining. The central banks indicating that they are done with hiking interest rates can act as a catalyst for AMT and other REITs.
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This has been a real success. They own cell towers globally, with about 67% in the US. A couple of years ago they converted into a REIT. This is like an apartment building where you just keep adding floors to it. As the service providers continue to add equipment as data use goes up, they just get more and more revenue. A great company. Thinks we will continue to see more dividend growth. They have a positive runway going forward. Earnings this year should be up 22% and 15%-16% after that. They plan to spend less money over the next couple of years, so will be able to grow their payout substantially and more rapidly.