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TSE:ALA
This summary was created by AI, based on 18 opinions in the last 12 months.
Altagas Ltd (ALA-T) has garnered mixed yet generally positive sentiment from experts, primarily due to its unique position in the energy sector, which is characterized by a balanced mix of regulated utilities and gas processing infrastructure. The company has strong growth prospects, particularly as it capitalizes on LNG export opportunities and increasing demand from data centers. Its robust relationships in Asia enable it to navigate potential disruptions in the Middle East effectively. Analysts highlight that Altagas's growth rate outpaces competitors like Pembina and Capital Power, adding to its attractiveness for investments. While some experts recommend holding or timing purchases for market pullbacks, the overall outlook remains bullish, showcasing confidence in the stock's future performance.
Dividend yield of 8.5%. They sold it in January. They took on a lot of debt to fund some recent acquisitions. The rating agencies have it on a negative watch because of this. They are trying to do private equity in public markets and they hit a window where funding is a little tight. He thinks the dividend is still safe.
Sustainable long-term cash flow. True, its charts are unflattering, but it's grown its dividend 50% over the past fve years. It continues to be on sale, so he continues to recommend it. It's a bargain now and the most recent drop is egregious. The market has been negative on the WGL acquisition, but utilities in metropolitan areas (Washington DC) with solid, long-term growth don't come up often. Cities will always utilities. Their cash flow will sustain the 8.8% dividend. You're paid to wait. He's buying for clients. (Analysts' price target $28.10)
(Past Top Pick on Oct. 3, 2017, Down 8%) They basically got their WGL deal approved yesterday and now have four approvals, though there's one more later this week. They've done everything they promised--they got their approvals and he's confident this deal with close. They need to announce some asset sales to shore up the funding plan. It got hit in the last quarter when they took some power assets off the market in California. Compared to say Enbridge, ALA has so many assets and so much cash flow. He belives they will find a buyer for those assets and this stock move higher. This stock is cheap now and they pay a big dividend. Now is a good entry point. The WGL deal is accretive. Dividend of 8.8% is safe and can even grow it a few years. The chairman owns a lot of stock.
They did some major missteps in the last year and a half. They were already facing some hurtles. The acquisition has still not closed, being held up by regulatory approvals. Buy the sub-receipts at a discount and then if the deal does not work you get the higher face value back. Also the acquisition is not as interesting as it was when it was initiated because of changes in US tax rules. We will know more over the next month or two. They are the .R version of the security.
It does not have much earnings support. However the price of oil is oozing slowly higher. He hopes soon it will 'energize' the oil patch. The problem is that they are paying out more than they are making. Unless there is a big recovery in earnings, they are going to have to cut their dividend fairly soon. They do not have a powerful balance sheet.
Be cautious and don't shop for dividend stocks in general. Play defence with names like this. Can't speak to ALA's dividend which is above 9%. Generally speaking, take profits and rotate into other sectors and be conservative. With ALA, wait and see. They are broadly based in Alberta, so be even more cautious.
Owns the receipts. Management blew it. If they sell their crown jewel to finance this deal, then the stock will get chopped. If they walk away, the stock will rise a little to the $31 receipt level, perfect for him. Three years ago they bought Californian assets and recently couldn't sell them. Managament has disappointed, and destroyed value. He hopes activist investors or regulators get involved to break the deal, so ALA can get out.
He used to own it, selling it in fall 2016 before their huge WGL purchase. He was--and remains--concerned with their high valuation. They also carry high debt and are on credit watch after the WGL acquisition. There are safer options out there.