Alcan Aluminum (AL.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Alcan Aluminum (AL.TO)

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BUY

Once the market stabilizes in New York, they will be buying more. With Noranda, it is the cheapest of the metal stocks.

BUY

Earlier in the year, aluminum prices when skyrocketing but have not dropped back to more normal levels. A cyclical stock, so if you think the economy, especially China's, will do OK, then it's OK. Don't hold.

TOP PICK

Aluminum prices are looking pretty good. Aluminum inventories are down and demand is up. Stock is very cheap at this time. Feels there is real significant cost savings in their acquisition in France.

TOP PICK

The Pechene deal was very good. Spinning off the fabricated product side will be good. Like the outlook for aluminum.

PAST TOP PICK

(Past top pick May 7/04. Down 4.7%.) Has been disappointed by the stock price performance. Hopes that global sentiment on aluminum will turn around.

TOP PICK

Expects a $.75 increase in earnings over the next year, based on its synergies with Pechene merger. Restructuring could also give the stock a bit of a pop.

DON'T BUY

The merger with the French company was a great merger for them. Concerns with the aluminum industry is that there is a lot of capacity coming on board and they'll have to compete on pricing. Fairly priced.

BUY

Aluminum should benefit from the growing Asian expects economy. Expects it will do better.

DON'T BUY

Would prefer Tek Cominco which has very good exposure in all the various base metals plus gold and coal.

HOLD

They should be a little more upside, but not a tremendous amount. Driven by the China story.

HOLD

Like this stock, will hold it

PAST TOP PICK

(Past top pick Apr 27/04. Down 4.7%. ) By spinning off their manufacturing product side, they won't have to sell European assets to pay for Pechene acquisition. Still a good buy.

TOP PICK

A cyclical pick. Trading at 4.5 X this year's cash flow. Very cheap. Expect aluminum prices will go higher.

BUY

A decent company. We are in a cyclical bull market and it will be 1/2 years before we see tops.

BUY

Have missed their earnings numbers in the past couple of quarters. They have cut enough costs that there should be a nice lift in earnings over the next year or so. Likes the aluminum business in general.

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Alcan Aluminum (AL.TO)