Agnico-Eagle MinesAEM.TOTRADEAug 24, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 23, 2026. Market Open.
One of the highest-quality gold miners in Canada. Strong operating record, very good balance sheet. Most assets are in relatively stable jurisdictions. Last quarter strong, production better than expected, costs well-controlled. Record FCF. Modest upside. Wait to add on weakness, don't chase here.
Full-year production now expected near lower end of guidance. Watch that, as well as price of gold. She owns ABX instead.
Cashflow machine. $3B or so in cash on the balance sheet. Down 34% from peak (including $30 jump from yesterday). Largest and best gold miner in Canada. Low-risk jurisdictions. Lots of growth plans beyond 2030 to increase production, much of it by expanding existing mines (means lower risk). Very conservative management. Yield is 1.08%.
(Analysts’ price target is $225.15)Gold is now trading pretty soberly on price to NAV. If you believe that the USD is eventually going to put in a high here and gold will start to assert itself (and that's the better view), then you can buy gold stocks here. Gold stocks can be fickle. Upcoming quarter may see margins pinched a bit due to higher costs, but that's already reflected in the price.
Decline from 2020 into a big consolidation. Probably not too much lower. Since 2022, it's formed a reverse head and shoulders -- you have a low point, but the low points on either side are higher. Not a bad trading stock between $60-75, so this is the time to buy.
Trading means smaller amounts, and you can add if it goes above $74-75. Overriding issue with commodity price, be careful. $60 exit strategy. Short-side upside to $71-72, don't expect more until visibility on buyers coming in.