Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) Buy,…

Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM)

80.45

+0.93 (1.17%)

as of Oct 2, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

68 watching

DON'T BUY

Too many moving parts for him. It is too sensitive to commodity prices. When agriculture prices skyrocket by the drought, it hurts companies like this.

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HOLD

Has been volatile, meandering stock,. Tends to rise in the latter half of the year. This would be one of the first stock he sold if the market started to roll over.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Recently reported a really lousy quarter but even so, the stock went up. Very complicated company to follow. Just because corn prices and fertilizers are going higher, doesn't mean they are making more or less money. You have to look at this one on a yearly basis. Cheap on valuation and a great raiser of dividends. Try to get under $30.

DON'T BUY

One of the underlying catalysts for this has been the grand peripheral (?) trade. That whole valley chain has caused land prices for farmers to reach inflated levels. As, at the same time as a Chinese big demand for these food commodities. Longer-term, you have a backdrop of sovereign risk at the banking levels for the US governments. Wonders if longer-term, the trade is going to unwind.

SELL

So many moving parts to it that it is tough to figure out. Announced a layoff today. Never great news.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 22/10. Down 7.56%.) Grain handling. Still things the global demand for food stuff is a good story. Still likes.

BUY

Very hard and complex company to understand. Involved in making additives for food as well as in the trading business. Does like that they are the biggest supplier of soybeans to China and over time, China is going to need more and more soybeans. Very cheap on a PE basis trading at a Price to Book Value of 1. Has raised its dividend 30+ years in a row.

SELL

Too many moving parts. Crop prices/failure, flowthrough issues. Tough industry.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Nov 4/10. Down 8.02%.) Agriculture services company. Exporter of corn, soy, etc. Had a really good year last year and raised its dividend twice. The problem is that they had a lousy 1st quarter. Very cheap at 9X earnings.

DON'T BUY

Processor of oil seeds. With crop size being small it could impact their revenues. Prefers not to be in processors but in fertilizers.

DON'T BUY

There were serious spikes in food commodities and they are now reversing course, which are squeezing margins. Would prefer a company with a longer-term cycle like Deere (DE-N). Can be quite volatile.

COMMENT

Into everything to do with what goes into food, grains, edible oils and the like. A major global player. Have a lot of pricing power. Have been looking at this, but it is a little too expensive.

BUY

One of the leading global grain producers, storage and traders. Great company but a lot of analysts have trouble on how to properly predict earnings. He believes in the long term story on agriculture and this is an excellent way to play it.

BUY

Used to be his top pick. He has always liked the name. They need to watch for $7 corn because the spread within Corn/Ethanol will be problematic is corn starts to creep up. They are the top ethanol producer in the US. It’s always a great stock to get on pullbacks. It’s a good name to own as a defense against grain prices.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 19/09. Up 26.55%.) (BNN indicated Top Picks as being on Feb 19/10 but were actually Picks on Feb 19/09 so percentages could be wrong.)

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Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM)