Apple IncAAPLSTRONG BUYNov 11, 2020Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 23, 2026. Market Open.
Still has a bit of a valuation issue, north of 30x PE. They've delivered, and will continue to do so. Its OS dominates the world at 70% of mobile devices, which will continue to generate growth. Doesn't know what'll happen to iPhone sales in China.
Other areas in tech are looking much, much cheaper. AAPL's getting a premium valuation, which it'll have to continue to earn. Not enough there to make it to the top of his list right now.
Her team is less positive on consumer spending, so they're not in this name. Key for long-term success will be how they embed AI into the iPhone. Not an impressive job thus far. Management changes could result in better innovation on AI -- has potential, but needs to show it.
For her, it's less about the foldable phone and more about a unique AI platform.
Some predict weakness in Apple's new iPhone sales because Apple raised the price of the phone in line with the rising cost of memory. Demand will depend on the telcos--will they continue to subsidize the growth in iPhones? It could be a challenge for the telcos. Next week, Apple has to show very good progress with Siri to have a successful phone launch. If not....
Sat out the capex buildout, relying on owning the end consumer. Time will tell if this was the right strategy. Massive service industry, with margins above 75%. The default stalwart when investors get worried about AI capex debt. Really good brand and margins, best share buyback program ever. Market's still trying to figure out where it fits in the AI ecosystem.
Can Apple be more misunderstood? Yesterday, they introduced three new Macbooks, and that they'll be making their own processors to extend battery life to 18 hours. He loves their new companies, is amazed by this new battery. They make quality computers, and PCs are a hot product now. Also, the new iPhone 12 offers a marvelous phone and it's compatible with the forthcoming 5G network. Yes, Apple's PE has risen, but the company is not only a product/gadget company, but it offers a serious service stream or a consumer packaged goods company with recurring revenue. At 30x earnings, Apple is only a little more expensive than Colgate or P&G. Compare it to Costco for its recurring revenue stream (Costco trades at 38x earnings). Apple is up 82% YTD, yet has more room to run. The new president won't be hostile towards China, which benefits Apple.