Apple IncAAPLWAITJan 03, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 23, 2026. Market Open.
Still has a bit of a valuation issue, north of 30x PE. They've delivered, and will continue to do so. Its OS dominates the world at 70% of mobile devices, which will continue to generate growth. Doesn't know what'll happen to iPhone sales in China.
Other areas in tech are looking much, much cheaper. AAPL's getting a premium valuation, which it'll have to continue to earn. Not enough there to make it to the top of his list right now.
Her team is less positive on consumer spending, so they're not in this name. Key for long-term success will be how they embed AI into the iPhone. Not an impressive job thus far. Management changes could result in better innovation on AI -- has potential, but needs to show it.
For her, it's less about the foldable phone and more about a unique AI platform.
Some predict weakness in Apple's new iPhone sales because Apple raised the price of the phone in line with the rising cost of memory. Demand will depend on the telcos--will they continue to subsidize the growth in iPhones? It could be a challenge for the telcos. Next week, Apple has to show very good progress with Siri to have a successful phone launch. If not....
Sat out the capex buildout, relying on owning the end consumer. Time will tell if this was the right strategy. Massive service industry, with margins above 75%. The default stalwart when investors get worried about AI capex debt. Really good brand and margins, best share buyback program ever. Market's still trying to figure out where it fits in the AI ecosystem.
He doesn't feel this could add a lot of value. It’s very hard to have a strong view. If the sales of the iPhone 10 are better than expected, then there is going to be a price mix effect that could cause them to beat expectations. The problem is, if the price and volume are not as good as might be, then it is fairly valued. The question is, how much upside is there if you get it right. Expects not enough to be comfortable in believing it is going to beat the market. Wait for them to finish the successful product launch and for people to get bored, before getting involved.