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Sirius XM Canada Holdings IncXSR.TOTOP PICKMay 06, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
Sell? When something has moved down and an offer comes to take it out, the offer is always below where you bought it. The terms of this are pretty luridly textbook style of a powerful inner circle who has devised some methodology that serves them, and the little guy is going to get trodden on. He is hoping that more money will be able to be cranked out of the offer.
Currently in the midst of a takeover attempt by the US parent company. They bid $4.50 a share, but because there is a cash share split, it is sort of in the implied price of $4.80-$4.85 range. He doesn’t think this is acceptable, and feels it is worth far more. The US parent had been using coercive tactics to drive down the price, and are now trying to make an opportunistic bid at a very low price. He intends to vote against this transaction in the upcoming vote.
Have been approached on a preliminary basis about a transaction to take them private, but thinks the problem is that the price range is lower than what people were expecting. It scores well on valuations, so the buyer at this price is potentially getting a good deal. Trading around 7X Price to Free Cash Flow. There might not be a lot more upside from here.
The stock is down with this bear market. He doesn’t expect anything dramatic to happen by way of growth. This is going to continue to be held by some key investors, and will continue to pay a good dividend. It also pays special dividends. This is kind of a sensible stock without fabulous fire in it.
His fear was of too many potential disruptors in this area, and he wasn’t sure that they could deliver. He would be tempted to be more of a seller than a buyer even though the yield is attractive. Technology is changing quickly in automobiles, and if car companies start giving away access to this type of service, it is going to be very hard to convince people to pay for it.
A bit of an auto play as well as a satellite radio play. Has a nice 5% dividend. Corrected recently over some concerns with the parent company which came down a little. There was a big overhang in the stock with a big position owned by CBC and Alan Slate (?). They converted their shares to Class A shares so you wonder if there is something in the works. He is interested because this overhang of large stock might actually enter into the float of the shares that trade on a regular basis. They have also refinanced one of their bonds from about 10% to 5.6%. Raised about $200 million and it was oversubscribed. Self paid subscribers and premium content are doing very well. This new raise of money will create more trading liquidity in the stock and bring more institutional interest to the name. Expect there might be a dividend raise as well as a special dividend. Yield of 5.34%.