Stock price when the opinion was issued
His firm is doing some research on nuclear power and electricity generators. Hasn't pulled the trigger yet. Likes the idea of data centres driving change in electricity demand.
This name is about 2/3 oil production, and 1/3 natural gas. Also 13-14 refineries well-placed in the US and elsewhere. Chemical products business. New management has improved margins. Will benefit from Trump trade. Timely entry point.
Oil price is low, OPEC is extending cuts. Expectations of a slower economy impacts demand. May also see challenges if Trump encourages oil production. The challenges are showing up in the oil stocks.
CNQ chart shows a breakdown, negative profile. He'd hold off for both. Next seasonally strong time is February, perhaps late January. At that time, he'd prefer CNQ.
Shareholder returns are a little lighter than peers. Valuation a bit higher than peers. Cashflow per share growth is in line with peers, as is the payout ratio. Balance sheet better than peers.
How many boxes does it tick? Ends up being fair. He wouldn't be buying a big oil company right now in front of the OPEC meeting.
Trades a little above the model price, but he looks at the price relative to its balance sheet. You have to go back to 1995 to get it at the same valuation as today. This one is one of the best companies in America. (Analysts Target: $89.38).