Stockchase Opinions

Jim Lebenthal Exxon Mobil XOM-N BUY Aug 15, 2025

Is top of class in energy. Nobody knows where energy prices will go, but if they go down, XOM can produce results and pay dividends and buy shares back. Problem is, nobody cares about the energy sector. 

$106.490

Stock price when the opinion was issued

integrated oils
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DON'T BUY

Is overvalued vs. Chevron. Don't own any oil stocks, because of their high PE which limits their yields.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 12/23, Up 17%)

Amazing capital allocators. Only problem is that political leaders think oil usage is obsolete. A must-own.

DON'T BUY

It reports Friday. He won't buy any oils, because these companies could cave to Trump's demands of drilling like mad. He thinks they will stay disciplined.

BUY

He's bullish energy and this is the must-buy. Scale will matter and XOM can spread its costs over a wide base.

DON'T BUY

They report Friday. He doubts they will report anything positive because of the low price of oil.

DON'T BUY

It's tough being overweight energy now with WTI negative on a YOY basis and badly underperforms the market.

DON'T BUY

Shareholder returns are a little lighter than peers. Valuation a bit higher than peers. Cashflow per share growth is in line with peers, as is the payout ratio. Balance sheet better than peers. 

How many boxes does it tick? Ends up being fair. He wouldn't be buying a big oil company right now in front of the OPEC meeting.

BUY

A name to consider instead of CVX.

BUY

He's overweight energy. XOM is investing heavily to help put up data centres. Are well-positioned.