
NYSEARCA:XLE
This summary was created by AI, based on 3 opinions in the last 12 months.
Experts are divided on the future price trajectory of oil and the associated merits of investing in the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE-N). One analyst predicts a price increase to $70-80 per barrel by the year's end, citing factors such as the need for global inventory replenishment and the prolonged logistics of oil distribution from the Gulf. Another expert emphasizes that the fund is appealing not necessarily for future oil prices but for consistent shareholder rewards and production growth linked to historical performance prior to geopolitical tensions, particularly the US-Iran war. The third review highlights a recent upgrade in energy stocks, attributing it to strong earnings growth, reasonable valuations, and their relative insulation from geopolitical risks, though it also notes inherent risks to oil prices. Overall, the outlook remains cautiously optimistic amidst uncertainties.
If you believe that oil is on sale, is there an ETF, US or Canadian, that has been beaten down worse than the others, and is this an opportunity? There are a couple that you could look at. iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy (XEG-T) and BMO S&P/TSX Oil and Gas (ZEO-T). These are very similar, so either one. On the other hand, you could go into the US and pick up this one, which has not been slaughtered quite as badly as the Canadian stuff.
(Energy is one of the 3 sectors he suggested in remarks under January Effect.) The average gain for energy between January 17 and May 5 is about 7.8%. Has a tremendous frequency of positive results, about 90% of the time. This is more of a Buy on weakness. Try to get it at around its 20 or 50 day moving average.
Historically the US energy sector does very well from around the end of January right through until the 2nd week of May. Energy stocks in the US have a high correlation to the price of gasoline. What is happening to the price of gasoline will pretty well indicate what will happen to this ETF. (See Top Picks)
(A Top Pick June 30/17 - Up 2.7%.) He continues to hold it. Likes it better than the Canadian space.