Whitecap ResourcesWCP.TODON'T BUYMay 15, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 30, 2026. Market Open.
The caller wondered about taking profits in this company. You could take a pause for a gas related stock but WCP is still very strong with a lot of production over a diverse number of regions. He would sell half and take profits, but keep half. He thinks that oil stays at $100 per barrel for the rest of the year.
Would name it top pick again. Based on $70 WTI, WCP has 20% upside to $22.50; at $80, it's $26. He wouldn't be surprised if WCP was bought out. WCP has a super inventory in the Montney and Duvernay and at least 17 years of stay-flat inventory. The CEO always buys shares on weakness, strong balance sheet and pays a dividend of 4%. Modest growth.
It is a mid-cap oil stock and their largest holding. It is one of the most misunderstood companies and is cheap without reason. Management has done an awesome job in its operations and it has beaten expectations in many quarters. It has well over 2 decades of very high quality inventory. US companies are eyeing Canadian companies Whitecap has 5.3 times cash flow and he sees a 40 % upside. Pays a dividend.
27% gas, the rest is oil. Now the 5th largest oil producer in Canada. Market cap of $20B. Extremely well run. Lots of contiguous land, long reserve life. Probably one of the strongest takeout candidates. Trades ~5x cashflow, with considerable upside.
With ARX being taken out, more institutions will be interested. Yield is 4.6%.
Possible risk of oil prices coming down in next 6-12 months. Important to hold a stock that can withstand commodity price volatility, good balance sheet, not too much debt, strong assets. Its lighter oil is subject to higher decline rates, about 26%. Merger will see lots of synergies. Digesting debt. Hesitant to own for short term.
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