
TSE:VET
This one had a great breakout. It is doing a series of consolidations along the way. Currently it is in one of the consolidations. The upper trend line that it started this year is still very much intact. He expects the little triangle “flag formation” will break out to the upside. Great-looking chart.
Very high margin producer. Q1 profitability was about $41 per barrel versus $27 for its peers. History of very solid performance, solid dividend growth, low decline rates, very safe dividend and a very strong balance sheet. Margins, that looked really, really great, won’t be as impressive relative to everybody else in the oil patch as the differentials between WTI and Brent continue to narrow.
Has liked this in the past. An international former royalty trust. Has good properties and great management but is not overly cheap relative to its peers. Smaller so it is not on many people’s radar screen so he would be inclined take the money and run. You could rotate into something that is better owned such as Suncor (SU-T).
Have geographic exposure in Canada, Australia as well as Europe. The European and Australian assets allow them to capture Brent pricing, which is higher than Canadian pricing. 45% of their production is Brent pricing. Also, have a huge asset in Corrib field in offshore Ireland, a natural gas play. Good dividend of about 4.5%. Simple payout ratio of about 35%.
Admired the execution by the management team. Their diversified interests have been well received. The one cautious note is that they are bringing on a large offshore gas project in Ireland. The trouble with offshore natural gas is that it is not as predictable in terms of reservoir quality and how is going to flow. He would like to see this de-risked and flowing before taking a long-term position in this one.