Visa Inc.VBUYJan 26, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 05, 2026. Market Open.
He reviews over 1k stock charts a day. Financials are one of 3 groups that are looking very favourable. Lots of opportunities, including in China (a tricky market). Just made new 5-year high after consolidating since June 2024.
A definite hold. Right in the centre of his farm team should the macro get a little better.
You'd have to go back a very long time to find his firm holding MA. Owned V for a long time, mainly on the valuation differential. MA has always been 4-6 multiple points higher. Visa is better value. Likes the space.
V might be stronger on the debit card side, which is growing at a faster rate than the credit side. Likes management. PE in the 20s, a discount to normalized multiples. Consistent, predictable. Earnings continue to do well. Nice hedge to a lot of companies that are in the news.
Visa and Mastercard have been treading water the past year because the market has been fixated on AI, but that money has been rotating out of AI into places like credit cards. The two companies have some of the best business models, big moats and trading at attractive PEs, though neither are at decades-long low PEs. Visa's layoff of 7% of workforce is good for the stock. Probably AI is making Visa more productive.
EPS of $2.41 beat estimates of $2.34 and sales of $8.6B beat estimates of $8.55B. Net income grew by 17% over the prior year, and its sales grew by 9%. Cross-border volume saw a large increase, of 16%, and management noted that it is off to a solid start with net revenues growing 9% and earnings growing even faster. It conducted share repurchases and dividends of $4.4B in the quarter, and the CEO sees strong opportunity across consumer payments and value added services. Operating expenses declined, leading to profit margin expansion, and its outlook for FY2024 is low double-digit revenue and operating expense growth, and a low-teens earnings growth rate. Overall, these were solid results, and while the stock dropped slightly today, it has been recovering.
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