Visa Inc.VCOMMENTJan 03, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 05, 2026. Market Open.
He reviews over 1k stock charts a day. Financials are one of 3 groups that are looking very favourable. Lots of opportunities, including in China (a tricky market). Just made new 5-year high after consolidating since June 2024.
A definite hold. Right in the centre of his farm team should the macro get a little better.
You'd have to go back a very long time to find his firm holding MA. Owned V for a long time, mainly on the valuation differential. MA has always been 4-6 multiple points higher. Visa is better value. Likes the space.
V might be stronger on the debit card side, which is growing at a faster rate than the credit side. Likes management. PE in the 20s, a discount to normalized multiples. Consistent, predictable. Earnings continue to do well. Nice hedge to a lot of companies that are in the news.
Visa and Mastercard have been treading water the past year because the market has been fixated on AI, but that money has been rotating out of AI into places like credit cards. The two companies have some of the best business models, big moats and trading at attractive PEs, though neither are at decades-long low PEs. Visa's layoff of 7% of workforce is good for the stock. Probably AI is making Visa more productive.
Chart shows a nice long upper trend line. Right now we are slightly over it so it could come off. 5%-10%. If that happens, there is a chance for it to come down to the $190 level. See if it holds the $207 level or drops below that a bit. Relative Strength (RSI) is turning over. Got to around $80 which is reasonably high. Every time it has hit $80 over the last 2 years, it was a good indication you are going to have a correction. Doesn’t think you can go wrong with this name.