Opinions

C. Kim Goodwin Tyco TYC-N TOP PICK Aug 20, 2004

C. Kim Goodwin

Unknown

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$31.290

Stock price when the opinion was issued

misc industrial products

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WATCH

Likes this company. A good story. Tremendous amount of free cash flow. New management has restructured the company nicely. They now have top start to grow by acquisition.

DON'T BUY

Trading at 1.5 X book and for a manufacturer that's pretty fair value. Balance sheet is quite large.

SELL

A diversified company that has disapponted since the spring. Have had to reset expectations for free cash flow. A little concerned that management are not on top of things well enough.

DON'T BUY

The fact that this stock has traded off quite dramatically there should be some decent support in the $26/28 area. Could be a small bounce, but expects it would roll over into 2006 with lower lows.

DON'T BUY

A conglomerate. Has been a great turnaround, but having seen a very big rebound what is the future for their holdings.

WEAK BUY

Missed their numbers slightly, but the big news is, it is being split up into different component parts. This will take a year which is a long time. The danger is, they could take their eye off the ball. There are better places for your money.

BUY

He has a model price of $37.28, an upside of about 14%.

HOLD

Stay with this through the break up. Worse in the mid-$30's.

COMMENT

Bought the stock when it had been hit hard because of missed estimates and was trading at a significant discount. Will be split into healthcare, electronics and home securities divisions in June. All 3 are very nice businesses.

DON'T BUY

Fire protection, securities and safety products business. A play on the US recovery but feels there are better plays, not only from the standpoint of breadth, but also what vehicle you use. Trading at about 18X earnings which is expensive. He would stand back and watch this for a while.

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C. Kim Goodwin Tyco TYC-N TOP PICK Aug 20, 2004

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