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NYSE:TWTR
Social Media is a force that is going to continue for some time. This has been a really volatile stock because they’ve had a hard time finding the right mix of business to deliver earnings to investors. Years ago it was a momentum stock, but today it is more of a value stock. It has a tremendous number of people that use the service, and you are not paying much for that. They haven’t got the service right yet, but it is a really dominant platform. Technically it made a low in April/16, then rallied and pulled back. It made a higher low in April of this year of around $14. It has pulled back again. There are 2 things that can go right. 1.) They ultimately get the business model right and take advantage of all those users. 2.) Somebody decides to buy the assets and make it more usable. Doesn’t think there is a lot of room to get hurt. Would prefer to focus on Facebook (FB-Q).
This is more of a value play. The stock has some interesting value, in that it has a tremendous number of eyes. There is a population that uses this extensively. It tends to be one of the first places we go when we are looking for global news these days. Operationally they are struggling. As a public company they are having trouble figuring out how to find profitability. This puts it as a very speculative stock to own. She thinks this will have value someday, but it might be under a different owner, or under different leadership. You don’t buy this for a short-term trade, you buy it for a little bit of a longer-term hold.
She thinks this will find a buyer. At $16 a share, it could make sense for a company to step in and buy them. Twitter is the standard by which information flows about stocks, companies, opinions, etc. At $16, this is okay to step in and Buy. Investment bankers are not going to let this one go down. There is too much money to be made.
(A Top Pick Oct 12/16. Down 0.99%.) Had felt this had to be worth more to somebody such as Disney, Alphabet, Facebook, etc. Some of the players were looking at this, but ended up doing other things. User growth has stalled out a little. As an asset play it has value. It generates cash flow.