Tamarack Valley EnergyTVE.TOHOLDAug 05, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 27, 2026. Market Open.
Unlike the Oil Sands, TVE is not allowed to book as many of their reserves upfront. You must invest to water flood, but as time goes on, the returns increase. Ask, what's the cash I'm getting in this quarter? And add atop that the reserves they're booking in that quarter. He expects the Clearwater deal to close.
(Note: Doesn't own, but he does own HWX and likes the upcoming merger.)
In oil sands, but not one of the major players. Merger consolidates 2 names in the region, should see a lot of cost savings. Merged entity will be a bigger player, grabbing more institutional attention. You can play the merger through either company.
Using water-flood technology to pick up production. Great growth, expecting 15% production growth in the next 6 months. Generates lots of cash. Recently increased dividend by 25%, increasing share buybacks.
International investors are coming back to Canada for energy. Foresees multiple expansion as well as pricing power. Yield is 1.19%.
Like both, but TOU has been sideways, because they are investing in capex, but turning back to shareholder returns. So, TOU should return to vogue. TVE has been a tear lately but trades at 11x forward PE with good growth. TVE will be a little more volatile. He expects oil to return to the $70s, but it will take time to clear the Strait of Hormuz.
A pure play on the Clearwater, one of the most productive basins in all of NA. Paybacks of less than a year on its wells. Waterflooding keeps going from strength to strength. Great long-term story. Stick with it.