
TSE:TRP
A growth dividend payer. For pipelines, there is such a lead time in construction, contracts, etc. This has basically laid out 8%-10% earnings growth over each of the next 5 years with commensurate dividend growth. If you get that and you keep the current valuation, you are going to get 5 years of compound 12% a year or something. It’ll probably end up less, because rates are going to go up. A relatively safe way to park some money. Dividend yield of 4%. (Analysts’ price target is $72.)
This company and Enbridge (ENB-T), which he owns, are not too dissimilar. Both made very large US acquisitions, and this is where growth comes from for the next while. You could own either as they will both do very well over the next several years. Once they integrate their acquisitions in, you will see much better cash flow growth, but more importantly, you will see their ability to make even bigger acquisitions.
(A Top Pick May 10/16. Up 28%.) Doesn’t own this anymore, because of valuation. He likes Enbridge (ENB-T) better because it is cheaper, and has a better trajectory, but with more risk. You are probably going to do well with both, and the rate of return might be close to being the same. Both are fantastic core holdings for anybody’s portfolio.
TRP-T vs. PPL-T. PPL-T has been expensive historically because management is worthy of it and so he would go for this one. He owns EMB-T because of the advantage that whoever you have to pay bills to you should own them. They have growing dividends at 8-10%. He likes the premium management of PPL-T and it is worthy of an increased multiple.
(A Top Pick Dec 23/16. Up 4%.) He thought there might be some uptick if the Keystone pipeline was approved and the integration of the Columbian pipeline. A great name to continue to hold. They are projecting dividend growth of over 10% over the next 3 years. They have $23-$24 billion of projects coming on in Mexico, the US and Canada.
The best time to buy any oil or gas stock is when there has been a big downturn in the oil/gas price. Pres. Trump has invited the company to submit applications for presidential approval. The Keystone is going to be an $8 billion project, and expected to generate about $1 billion operating cash flow in 2020. That is worth about $8 a share in upside. However, the stock hasn’t moved since the election.
This has had a fantastic run over the last year or so. Pretty much everything has gone right for them. He would prefer a better entry point. Has been trimming his position over the last 6 months. The long-term dividend growth rate is going to be in the 8%-12% range. The Columbian pipeline acquisition looks really good. 3.2% dividend yield.
There is just not enough going on for him to stick around. It is going to be interest sensitive, and he has been reducing his exposure to these names. Has a decent dividend of about 4%, but the stock is not cheap.