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Sierra WirelessSW.TOWATCHFeb 24, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jan 16, 2023. Market Open.
This company reinvented itself a number of times over the years. They are a technology hardware manufacturer. This is best summed up by calling them an “Internet of things”, for all kinds of devices. From a long-term perspective, it is subject to the vagaries of the product cycle and technological obsolescence. He doesn’t care for the volatility and prefers others.
He likes the space “the Internet of things” that this is in. This has about 38% of the business in Canada and he thinks it is going to keep growing. It is in the right sector, between the pro-growth and the defensive. They just had a fantastic quarter and caught the street off guard. Sees this having a double from here. The next resistance is around $46, and he thinks it is taking out the $58 at some point. (Analysts’ price target is $29.50.)
The company is happy with their current results, but the challenge is going to be the upcoming quarter. Some of the sales they were expecting in Q3 have been pulled forward into Q2, which bulks up the near term results, but means that Q3 might be more of a challenge. ROE of 10%. The PE is 22X against earnings growth forecast of 79%, as earnings are expected to go from $.83 to $1.48 in 2016. For 2017, earnings are expected to grow at 39% against a 15 PE. This gives a PE to growth rate of .5, and typically a growth rate of less than 1 is viewed as favourable. Thinks there is still pretty good long-term opportunity for them. It ranks 131, roughly the top 10% of his database. He would look at technical analysis to see when it is time to jump in.
This is back in the decline mode again because the tech stocks associated with it have gone down. In the short term, he wouldn’t expect a whole lot from it. The balance sheet is solid, and in the whole sector of connectivity of things to the Internet they are really riding that wave. One of the only pure plays in the sector. Longer-term the sector outlook will win the day for the stock. Valuation has come down quite attractively. If you can keep this for 2 years and ignore the next 6 months, you will probably do okay.
Has been a great company in the last 3 years. They stumbled and fell apart early on, only to recapture its business as it moved into machine-to-machine and the Internet of Things. They made a very tactical change in their strategy when they acquired 2 companies in Europe, and the stock has worked very well ever since. He likes the story and thinks there is room to grow. The value proposition will be clearly understood after they report on the 1st quarter. Wait to see what the company does in its 1st quarter. Every time the stock drops below $40 that is a good entry point.