
TSE:SU
To get US investors to come back to the stock en masse, the Keystone project is very important, despite the positive impact that rail has had. As a company that is devoting more capital to more projects, he feels investors are really leery of this. They prefer to look at it is a free cash flow machine.
He is watching it closely. A lot of the oil sands stocks are showing signs of bottoming and this is one of them. It is finally forming a nice little base. Strength is July to Oct. We are getting close to this time. Oil stocks have not responded to the breakout in oil price today. He is looking for $112/barrel for West Texas oil by end of September.
Tremendously long lifed. Going out 3 years you could own this stock if you don’t worry month to month. Returns a lot of cash to shareholders. Ultimately he thinks Keystone will get approved but it will take longer than people think. 2.4% yield. Should increase dividend every year and maybe throw in a big buyback. If oil goes up you get good leverage to that.
Has been a big disappointment in terms of it's production growth. A recently cancelled voyager upgrade project wasn't really a surprise. Not the company it was 3 or 4 years ago.
Valuation is attractive, which is why they continue to hold it. New CEO is expected to increase the dividend. Recently positive on Suncor.
Had a joint venture with Total (TOT-N) and both companies decided that the new upgrader was not going to go ahead and it looks like that was the right decision. Recently restated good oil sands production growth of over 4%. Also, just announced an increase in their quarterly dividend. Yield of 2.58%. Sees it at over $40 in 12 months.
Very cheaply valued at only about 5X cash flow. This is an integrated player. There are a lot of things they are doing that could improve their costs as well as wrapping up production. Yield of 2.61%.