TSE:SU

Suncor Energy Inc (SU.TO)

88.84
-0.28 (0.31%)
as of Aug 13, 2026, 2:10:12 pm Market Open.
1171 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 13, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 16 opinions in the last 12 months.

Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) has garnered praise for its remarkable corporate turnaround and strong performance under its current management, noted for streamlining operations and generating significant free cash flow. Despite recent challenges, including the stepping down of the CEO, experts see potential for substantial upside, with estimates of up to 40% growth in two years if the momentum continues. Many experts consider the stock's valuation as attractive, especially in comparison to peers like CNQ, suggesting that it remains a compelling option for income and growth as oil prices fluctuate. The company's long-life reserves and commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends and buybacks bolster its favorable standing in the energy sector, contributing to a generally positive outlook.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Fair Value
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Similar
CNQ
HOLD

Very impressive turnaround under new management team. They're about 1.5 years through their 3-year plan, and ahead of schedule. Exceeded every target set. Deep cultural change is important to highlight. Breakeven (including dividend) has moved into the range of mid-$40 US a barrel.

Returning 100% of FCF to shareholders via dividends and buybacks. Well-integrated, solid model insulates it from low oil price.

DON'T BUY

A core Canadian energy name, along with CNQ. Still, energy space has been very tough. Prices have been low, OPEC producing more than expected. Regulatory environment in Canada is challenged, as is the macro global economy. 

HOLD
Up 134%. Hold? Sell?

Definitely continue to hold. Still sees quite a bit of upside. Has done quite well this year, after having safety issues 3-4 years ago. Trying to go more green. Integration gives it nice diversification. One of his core holdings.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 11/25, Down 4%)

(Note the short timeframe.)  Still likes it. Not a Top Pick today because he wasn't allowed to choose the same one again ;)  Great business, fully integrated. Energy's not going away or being consumed less. Buying back lots of stock, low valuation, makes lots of $$.

COMMENT

It has had 6 consecutive quarters of beating expectations. He prefers CNQ with its strong history of consistent growth and 5% dividend which it has been raising for 25 years.

BUY
Favourite oil stock?

Has made tremendous strides over the last couple of years. BMO's report on insider buying shows highest level in last 5 years, and that speaks volumes. Timing is quite good, with oil showing resistance at $60. Very healthy at under 1x debt to EBITDA.

Look beyond 2025, when tariffs will have been resolved. Energy should bypass a lot of that because of how strategic it is, so we're not going to see a 50% tariff.

TOP PICK

Seeing better pricing on crude products from Western Canada, a game-changer for a stock like this. Balance sheet can withstand shocks. Starting to see realistic moves by Canada to open other export markets for energy. Trading at extremely low valuations, time to start picking away at it for the long term. Yield is 4.61%.

(Analysts’ price target is $59.78)
WAIT

He likes the big integrated names, but doesn't own any oil producers now. His team deemed that group as having first-derivative vulnerability to tariffs on volumes and profitability. Premium brand in the space. He's waiting out some of the volatility on the price of oil before getting back in. Nice dividend.

HOLD

He sold off a bunch of energy names, but retained this one. Concerns about global recession is hitting energy names. He's in the camp of too early to think about a recession, and tariffs will look very different 6-12 months from now. If we see there's no recession, things can turn around quickly.

200-day and 200-week MAs still moving higher, a good sign. Right at 200-week MA today, and that can be massive long-term support for most stocks. If you own, don't sell. If wanting to buy, this might be your chance to look at it. Yield is 5%.

WATCH

Pretty deep support around $47, right where it is now. Recent chart shows how it went nowhere for a while, so the break is significant. Energy's been hit dramatically.

COMMENT

Has done a great job of taking market focus off of Base Plant mine depletion down the road. It trades at a slight premium to Cenovus, which SU could buy, but he hopes not.

COMMENT

Was the ugly stepchild but improved operations dramatically, and that's why it's outperformed CNQ.

TOP PICK

Cheap 12x PE. Decent yield of 4%. Likes its vertical integration (exploration, production, retail). Options: sell April $56 for $1.70

(Analysts’ price target is $63.92)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/19, Up 53%)

Company has recently turned around with new management. Strong capital discipline. Very strong dividend. Excellent assets with very long reserve life of oil assets. Share prices are still cheap - would be a good long term hold. 

BUY

Likes energy. A name he likes based on the sideways trading chart.

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