Stock price when the opinion was issued
Great environment for engineering and similar services. ROE is ~13%. PE's of all these companies are getting up around 40x trailing earnings. Rather fully priced. Very good exposure to the US, and the USD is strong and likely to remain so for a while.
In a trade war, services may not be as badly affected as some products, so these companies could be somewhat of a haven.
We continue to like STN, but at the time we felt its valuation was lofty relative to its historical averages, and we were looking for higher growth opportunities elsewhere. We think it is a solid moderate growth name, and for a long-term investor, we would be comfortable holding it over the long term. It can go down along with the market if we continue to see declines for the TSX, but it has a strong history of margin expansion, revenue growth, and free cash flow growth.
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STANTEC vs. AECON - He's studying the infrastructure space closely. He has no criticism about Stantec, but he prefers Aecon for its balance sheet ($260 million in cash) and low debt. And its new CEO has global experience, which is a catalyst for Aecon and will help them go global. He hasn't bought ARE yet, but will.