
TSE:SPB
Very cheap at 11X earnings with an 8% dividend yield. In the process of acquiring Canexus (CUS-T), but markets are giving no credit for this. There are regulatory risks that the deal gets turned down, but there should still be some premium priced into this that maybe it will go through. If it goes through, there could be a very nice expansion in multiples because they are going to be generating a lot of cash flow. Since this valuation is not being given any credit, you have upside opportunity, but very limited downside risk. It is also a utility giving stability. The dividend should be good.
They were disappointing on their latest earnings. Just lowered their cash flow guidance, but cited a recent equity raise that they did to fund their Canexus (CUS-T) merger and IT expenses next year. The problem with them not growing as much means that their balance sheet is a little more levered than you want it to be if they get approval for their merger. The good news is that Canexus will be very accretive for them, and will really strengthen their chemicals platform. They have a lot of their operations in the US. In 2016 all their US hedges roll off, which will be a bit of an FX tailwind. Likes the name.
Reported quarterly results that were a little bit messy. It certainly disappointed the street. Recently announced the acquisition of Canexus (CUS-T), and he thinks the outcome of the regulatory review will be in the middle of next year. That should provide some clarity for the stock. Sold off because the operational results were not very good. It is also an entity that is highly leveraged. This is probably a victim of a little bit of tax loss selling. Thinks the intrinsic value of the entity as a whole is far greater than $10, especially if they sell their construction business.
Have made an offer to buy Canexus (CUS-T), which might run into a few regulatory hurdles. If they do manage to get the deal through, it is going to be very accretive. Have 2 other businesses, propane distribution and a consumer’s products division, (drywall and sheet wall that they sell.) The propane distribution is excessively stable. The dividend yield of 6.9% is very safe.
Convertible debentures? Usually you see convertible debentures on weaker credits that might have some underlying promise as far as the equity goes, but they are paying you something for that risk. This company has been around for a long time in the propane/gas distribution business. Not a liquid market so not something that you could easily Sell or Buy in the marketplace.
(Market Call Minute.) This is in 3 different businesses, propane, construction products and energy management. Has had a nice run up.